Supporting countries affected by fragility, conflict, and violence
By 2030, nearly 60 percent of the extreme poor around the world will be in countries affected by fragility, conflict, and violence (FCV). According to UNHCR, there are now more than 108 million forcibly displaced people globally. The severe food insecurity that will likely affect over 240 million people until 2027 is twice as prevalent in countries affected by FCV. Destabilizing events—such as coups, irregular political transitions, and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—further threaten efforts to address poverty in developing countries.
The World Bank Group helps countries respond to these challenges under the guidance of our FCV Strategy. The strategy outlines our commitment to helping prevent conflict, remain engaged during conflict and crisis, support countries’ transitions out of FCV, and mitigate spillover effects such as forced displacement. Our risk and resilience assessments identify drivers of FCV and sources of resilience to inform our engagement with countries. In Mozambique, one such assessment led to constructive dialogue and portfolio changes to support the government in addressing an insurgency in the north as well as residual challenges related to the civil war. Since the FCV Strategy was launched in 2020, we have delivered 32 assessments, including regional assessments for Central Asia, Lake Chad, and the Horn of Africa, as well as a subnational assessment in South Sudan.
Bank Group financing for countries affected by FCV stands at an all-time high. The share of the IBRD portfolio in FCV-affected countries nearly doubled from fiscal years 2016 to 2021.1 For the poorest countries, average annual IDA financing for fragile and conflict-affected countries has increased more than fivefold since IDA16, reaching 39 percent of total IDA resources, with more than half of the grants going to countries affected by FCV in fiscal 2021. The IDA20 replenishment will continue to allocate a significant share of resources to fragile and conflict-affected countries between July 2022 and June 2025. This record level of support underscores the importance of addressing risks and grievances proactively, supporting refugees and host communities, strengthening core government functions, and addressing transboundary drivers of these challenges. Crisis preparedness is a new cross-cutting issue under IDA20, as the poorest countries affected by FCV often experience complex crises. IFC and MIGA also leverage the IDA Private Sector Window to support investments and offer guarantees in the poorest countries and FCV situations.
IDA support includes the FCV envelope (a top-up in addition to regular IDA allocations), as well as platforms and instruments to support refugees and host communities, respond to crises (including for food security), and promote regional approaches. About $8.8 billion has been set aside for the FCV envelope in IDA20—an increase of 17 percent compared to IDA19. In fiscal 2023, this includes $1.2 billion to help governments prevent conflicts from escalating. It also includes $305 million to help three countries transition out of fragility, and $141 million to remain engaged in high-intensity conflict settings in two countries. More countries can now access this support. Another $2.4 billion has been set aside for the Window for Host Communities and Refugees in IDA20, with $920 million committed in fiscal 2023.
First launched in 2008, the State and Peacebuilding Umbrella Trust Fund is now the Bank’s largest multidonor trust fund, which provides catalytic financing to help prevent conflict, rapidly respond to crises, and build long-term resilience. By 2022, the fund had financed 286 grants in 66 countries since its inception, with over $327 million committed.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—which caused the fastest-growing refugee crisis in Europe since World War II—exacerbated the global forced displacement crisis. The Global Concessional Financing Facility supports middle-income countries that host large numbers of refugees. Since 2016, it has provided more than $851 million in grants, unlocking about $6.8 billion in concessional financing to improve the lives of refugees and host communities. It is helping Jordan and Lebanon address the impact of hosting Syrian refugees; Moldova support Ukrainian refugees and host communities; and Colombia, Costa Rica, and Ecuador meet the needs of Venezuelan refugees and migrants, as well as host communities. It also supports coordination among multilateral development banks, the UN, and participating countries.
The Bank Group works with humanitarian, development, peacebuilding, security, and private sector organizations to leverage our complementary mandates and strengthen our impact on the ground. The Bank partners with UN agencies in more than 40 crisis-affected situations, such as Yemen, allowing us to stay engaged in the most difficult environments. This includes UNHCR, which is a critical partner in addressing the needs of forcibly displaced people, refugees, and host communities, particularly in IDA and Global Concessional Financing Facility countries. And by partnering with organizations like the International Committee of the Red Cross, we can implement projects in conflict-affected countries and deliver critical services to vulnerable people in challenging areas, including Myanmar, South Sudan, and Yemen.
World Development Report
The World Development Report 2023: Migrants, Refugees, and Societies provides a comprehensive analysis of international migration and its potential to help reduce poverty and boost shared prosperity in all countries. It focuses on the 184 million people around the world who lack citizenship in the country where they live, including 37 million refugees. The future of migration will likely be driven by rapid demographic change. In both middle- and high-income countries, people are aging quickly; in the former, they are growing older before they become rich. In low-income countries, the population is booming, but many young people lack the skills needed for the global labor market. These trends will spark a global competition for workers and make migration increasingly necessary for countries at all income levels.
The report presents a framework to guide policy-making based on how well migrants’ skills match the needs of destination countries, as well as the motives for their movement and the corresponding obligations under international law. Under this framework, origin countries should make labor migration an explicit part of their development strategy by designing policies to lower remittance costs, facilitate knowledge transfer from their diaspora, build skills that are in high demand globally, mitigate the adverse effects of “brain drain,” protect their nationals while abroad, and support them upon their return. Destination countries should manage migration more strategically to ensure they meet labor needs. They should provide sustainable, international protection to refugees by letting them move, find jobs, and access national services where available. They should also reduce the need for distressed, high-risk movements, while treating migrants with dignity.
International cooperation is essential to make migration a strong force for development, including bilateral cooperation to strengthen the “match” of migrants and multilateral efforts to share the costs of hosting refugees and address distressed migration. New financing instruments can help countries care for non-citizens in a predictable manner. Underrepresented voices must also be heard, including developing countries, the private sector, and other stakeholders, as well as migrants and refugees themselves.
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1 IBRD estimate is based on the Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations list for each fiscal year.