Countries in Eastern and Southern Africa remain weighed down by a series of crises, including the impacts of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, soaring commodity prices and food shortages, devastating climate shocks, and debt distress. Real GDP growth in the region is estimated to decline to 3 percent in 2023, from 3.5 percent in 2022. The region’s economy is hindered by lower long-term growth in the continent’s largest countries, such as South Africa, whose economic activity is set to weaken further in 2023 to 0.8 percent as the energy crisis deepens.
However, many countries are showing resilience, including Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, and Rwanda, which grew at 8.6 percent, 5.2 percent, and 8.2 percent in 2022, respectively. By harnessing their natural resources and enacting the right policies, countries can improve fiscal and debt sustainability.
World Bank assistance
In fiscal 2023, the Bank approved $16.7 billion in lending to Eastern and Southern Africa for 73 operations, including $2.4 billion in IBRD commitments and $14.3 billion in IDA commitments. This includes $3.8 billion in new financing to help countries boost food security. Our work in Eastern and Southern Africa focuses on addressing food insecurity, building resilience to climate change, boosting inclusion, and promoting digital development.
Through the World Bank Group’s Regional Integration Strategy, we stepped up efforts to strengthen regional integration in Africa during fiscal 2021–23, helping the continent recover from the COVID-19 pandemic and achieve economic transformation. The strategy also supports regional connectivity, trade and market integration, human capital development, and greater resilience. It focuses on bringing countries and partners together to address common fragility challenges in the Horn of Africa and the Great Lakes.
Combating rising food insecurity
More than 36 million people across the Horn of Africa cannot access enough food as Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia experience the worst drought in 40 years. The Bank is helping countries tackle growing food insecurity through a $2.8 billion envelope that includes a Contingent Emergency Response Component to provide rapid financing in the region. This program is also supporting resilient agriculture, sustainable natural resources, greater market access, and more resilient food systems for the longer term through effective policies. Now in its third phase, the program is mobilizing much-needed resources to respond to the food crisis and promote resilient agricultural production in Comoros, Ethiopia, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, Somalia, and Tanzania. In Somalia, we helped over 1 million people, nearly a tenth of the country's population, receive unconditional cash transfers to meet basic nutrition and consumption needs. We also protected food security and livelihoods for another 600,000 people in the aftermath of a major locust outbreak in 2020 by temporarily scaling up the regular program and delivery of emergency cash transfers.
In March 2023, the longest-lasting tropical cyclone ever recorded in the Southern Hemisphere hit Malawi and Mozambique. Immediately following Cyclone Freddy, we activated emergency contingency measures worth $47 million and $150 million, respectively, to support disaster response. In Malawi, this support helped purchase 65,000 metric tons of maize and medical supplies to address food insecurity and the spread of cholera (see Spotlight on page 19). In Mozambique, this financing is helping rehabilitate roads, bridges, schools, health centers, power lines, water supply, and drainage structures. It is also helping restore rural livelihoods by distributing agriculture seeds and tools to affected farmers.
Increasing resilience to climate shocks
Crippling droughts, devastating floods, and rapidly rising temperatures are severely hitting African economies. We provided $385 million to help countries in the Horn of Africa better adapt to climate change. This project will foster cooperation between Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia to draw on the region’s largely untapped groundwater resources. It will reach more than 3 million people, half of them women, by increasing access to water supply, reducing vulnerability to climate change, and improving food security.
We also committed $328 million to help Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia address drought impacts on pastoral communities and better connect them to markets. The project will reach 250,000 households, helping pastoralists access drought insurance and digital tools and attracting more private investment. And in Rwanda, we provided $100 million in additional financing to support a sustainability-linked bond instrument, to be issued by the Development Bank of Rwanda in local currency, to help mobilize private capital.
Expanding access to electricity
Unless the current pace of electrification is tripled, over half a billion people in Sub-Saharan Africa will remain without electricity in 2030. We are working to accelerate access to affordable, reliable, and sustainable electricity and facilitate a transition to more diverse and cleaner sources of energy that meet growing demand, promote growth, and create jobs. In Tanzania, we have helped provide more than 4.5 million people with access to electricity and added new connections to more than 1,600 health care facilities and nearly 6,000 schools since 2017. In South Africa, we are supporting a $497 million project that will help Eskom—the country’s main electricity supplier—decommission and repurpose the Komati coal-fired power plant using renewables and batteries. This effort will also create opportunities for those who are affected in Mpumalanga province, which has 12 of South Africa’s coal-fired power plants and 83 percent of South Africa’s coal production. This project was a landmark step in the Bank’s efforts to help countries transition to low-carbon economies without sacrificing their development goals.
Stepping up investments to empower women and girls
The Bank is committed to empowering women and girls to boost human capital and accelerate growth. This includes our support for girls’ education, economic opportunities for women, better health services, and greater agency for women. Our Regional Gender Action Plan focuses on closing gaps in earning, asset, digital, and education; improving reproductive health care; reducing gender-based violence; addressing social norms; strengthening laws and regulations; and engaging men and boys. In Somalia, we are providing additional financing of $52 million to increase access to education and skills training for 30,000 girls and women. This will help them acquire basic literacy, numeracy, life, and vocational skills that will allow them to improve their livelihoods. In Angola, a $250 million project will reach 900,000 youth, mostly girls, and increase access to secondary education for girls, provide sexual and reproductive health services, offer scholarships to keep girls in school, and proactively address gender-based violence.
Establishing a Digital Africa
The Bank supports efforts to expand high-speed internet access across the continent to help boost firm productivity and exports and helping create jobs. In Kenya, we are providing $390 million to expand access to high-speed internet, improve education and government services, and build skills for the regional digital economy—all of which will help reduce disparities in digital skills and connectivity and expand the digital marketplace. The project will also mobilize about $100 million in private capital to develop broadband infrastructure.
Further Information: Eastern and Southern Africa Homepage >
Regional Commitments and Disbusements for Fiscal 2021–23
| COMMITMENTS ($ MILLIONS) | DISBURSEMENTS ($ MILLIONS) |
| FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 |
IBRD | 1,525 | 2,907 | 2,364 | 325 | 2,441 | 1,690 |
IDA | 14,089 | 15,266 | 14,368 | 8,081 | 7,133 | 10,417 |
Portfolio of operations under implementation as of June 30, 2023: $74.2 billion. |
SPOTLIGHT: Moving from response to resilience in cyclone-battered Malawi
With over 1,000 lives lost, hundreds of thousands displaced in camps, and roads, bridges, schools, hospitals, and powerlines damaged, Cyclone Freddy was the latest in a series of shocks that devastated the lives and livelihoods of the poorest and most vulnerable people in Malawi, as well as the country’s prospects for long-term, inclusive growth.
In response to myriad crises—including COVID-19, cyclones Ana and Gombe in 2022, and the year-long cholera outbreak—the World Bank has stepped up to support Malawi’s emergency response and promote more durable solutions. This includes $87 million for COVID-19 response, vaccines, and systems strengthening; $60 million to rehabilitate the Kapichira Dam, which supports one-third of Malawi’s installed electricity capacity; $100 million to protect essential health services in the face of cholera; and $110 million for social protection.
Immediately following Cyclone Freddy, the Bank helped clear debris, supply clean water, and purchase fuel for search and rescue. We activated two Contingent Emergency Response Components, which allow the quick redirection of project funding, for maize supply and essential medicines for the southern region, where they are most needed. Working closely with the UNDP and the EU, we supported a post-disaster needs assessment, which estimates loss and damages of about $600 million and recovery needs of $700 million.
To support recovery following the cyclone, we are helping improve growth, livelihoods, and critical services. This includes the Malawi Agriculture Commercialization Project, which supports more than 75,000 members of producer groups by fostering productivity, resilience, and market integration with more than 100 purchasers, such as domestic supermarkets and international agrifood companies. We are also providing $145 million to help municipal authorities in the city of Blantyre strengthen resilience in water supply and sanitation, reaching nearly half a million residents.
Looking ahead to the longer term, the Bank is preparing a comprehensive crisis response and resilience program to help Malawi build back better while also scaling up critical work on degraded landscapes.
Regional Snapshot
INDICATOR | 2000 | 2011 | CURRENT DATAa |
Total population (millions) | 402 | 538 | 721 |
Population growth (annual %) | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
GNI per capita (Atlas method, current US$) | 658 | 1,575 | 1,542 |
GDP per capita growth (annual %) | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Population living below $2.15 a day (millions) | 227 | 231 | 262 |
Life expectancy at birth, females (years) | 53.7 | 61.3 | 65.1 |
Life expectancy at birth, males (years) | 50.2 | 57.3 | 59.9 |
Carbon dioxide emissions (megatons) | 358 | 525 | 545 |
Extreme poverty (% of population below $2.15 a day, 2017 PPP) | 56.5 | 42.9 | 40.3 |
Debt service as a proportion of exports of goods, services, and primary incomeb | 12 | 4 | 19 |
Ratio of female to male labor force participation rate (%) (modeled ILO estimate) | 85 | 86 | 87 |
Vulnerable employment, total (% of total employment) (modeled ILO estimate) | 73 | 73 | 71 |
Under-5 mortality rate per 1,000 live births | 138 | 82 | 57 |
Primary completion rate (% of relevant age group) | 50 | 68 | 72 |
Individuals using the internet (% of population) | 1 | 7 | 28 |
Access to electricity (% of population) | 20 | 29 | 48 |
Renewable energy consumption (% of total final energy consumption) | 65 | 63 | 66 |
People using at least basic drinking water services (% of population) | 41 | 51 | 59 |
People using at least basic sanitation services (% of population) | 23 | 27 | 31 |
Note: ILO = International Labour Organization; PPP = purchasing power parity. a. The most current data available between 2018 and 2022; visit https://data.worldbank.org for data updates. b. Data for Sub-Saharan Africa. |