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publicationOctober 9, 2024

Cybersecurity Economics for Emerging Markets

Synopsis

Cybersecurity is a game-changer for economic growth in the digital era. Cybersecurity is no longer just about protection—it’s a vital catalyst for economic growth, particularly for developing nations and rapidly digitalizing industries. With cyber incidents rising at an alarming rate—37% annually in upper-middle-income countries and 21% worldwide—this research uncovers how closing cybersecurity gaps can significantly boost growth and help development goals.

By leveraging AI to analyze millions of online articles written in 98 languages, this groundbreaking study reveals that reducing cyber incidents could raise GDP - outperforming even the potential economic gains from AI adoption.

Discover why cybersecurity investments are key to unlocking economic potential, as nations confront a rising wave of cyber threats.

Key messages:

  • Cybersecurity drives economic growth: Cybersecurity not only prevents losses but also builds trust, enhances competitiveness, and fosters digital innovation, driving overall productivity. In fact, a developing country that reduces cyber incidents could boost GDP per capita by 1.5% within a decade. Moreover, new evidence shows that, between 2014 and 2023, the most digitalized and profitable industries performed better in nations with strong cybersecurity commitments, all else equal.
  • Developing regions are at a critical moment: With 63% of the population online, developing countries, particularly in Latin America and the Caribbean, are experiencing a surge in major disclosed cyber incidents—25% growth over the past decade in LAC and 37% in UMICs—yet progress in cybersecurity measures remains slow.
  • Public administration and finance are highly vulnerable: In developing nations, 36% of the disclosed cyber incidents target public administration, with finance and information & communications close behind, while high-income countries face a more even spread, led by healthcare at 16%.
  • Urgent need for skilled workforce and tailored solutions: With a global shortage of 4 million cybersecurity professionals and over 90% of research focused on the U.S. alone, nations must invest in building talent and developing tailored R&D plans, supported by a balanced approach of market-driven solutions and strong regulatory frameworks.

Cybersecurity isn't a cost—it’s an investment in a stronger, more resilient economy.