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Building Evidence on Forced Displacement

POLICY SUPPORT

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The aim of the Building the Evidence on Forced Displacement program is to strengthen the availability of data and analysis for evidence-based policymaking. To enhance the breadth of research on forced displacement, the program’s third pillar - entitled Policy Support - synthesized lessons emerging from the program and developed demand-driven studies not covered by the previous two pillars.

To strengthen the availability of research for policymaking, research activities include literature reviews, desk research, meta-analyses of existing literature, and original studies complementing research initiatives financed under the activities. The following studies indicate the potential for future areas of forced displacement research.



Religious Terrorism, Forced Migration, and Women’s Empowerment : Evidence from the Boko Haram Insurgency

Religious Terrorism, Forced Migration, and Women’s Empowerment : Evidence from the Boko Haram Insurgency

2023

Are there links between violent attacks of the Islamic extremist group Boko Haram, forced migration, and the empowerment of women in host communities? According to this study’s findings, there are positive effects of distant attacks on the economic well-being of women, their use of modern contraceptive methods, and rejection of traditional gender views. However, the findings also show increased risks of women experiencing domestic violence. 

Measuring Poverty in Forced Displacement Contexts

Measuring Poverty in Forced Displacement Contexts

2022

Economists and poverty specialists have long neglected the measuring of poverty among the forcibly displaced, including refugees and internally displaced persons. This study reviews the evolution, prospects, and findings of the poverty measurement literature on the forcibly displaced and discusses the main data and measurement challenges and outlines the efforts of humanitarian and development organizations to close the measurement gap.

Women holding basket of corn. Mexico. Photo: © Curt Carnemark / World Bank

Estimating Food Price Inflation from Partial Surveys

2021

Conflict crises can severely limit the capacity to monitor inflation as lack of resources, loss of access to markets, or disturbances in ground operations impact data gathering. Using surveys from the World Food Programme gathered in 25 fragile and conflict-affected countries, new price monitoring capabilities developed by Building the Evidence on Forced Displacement has transformed research in this area.

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COVID-19 Outbreaks in Refugee Camps

2021

To illustrate the type of information that can assist UNHCR and camp administrators in preparing for a potential pandemic, this study examines the series of simulations of the spread of COVID-19 disease in refugee camps. The research used a demo set of data from the Za’atari refugee camp in Jordan. This paper has not been peer reviewed.

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The Impact of Forced Displacement on Host Communities: A Review of the Empirical Literature in Economics

2020

This review of the literature on forced displacement in economics research surveys 49 empirical studies that estimate the impact of forced displacement on host communities, including impact on wages, employment, household well-being, and labor markets.

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Estimating Poverty among Refugee Populations : A Cross-Survey Imputation Exercise

2020

Imputation methods developed by Building the Evidence on Forced Displacement have been critical in improving estimations. By combining UNHCR surveys and administrative data, this paper tests the performance of cross-survey imputation methods to estimate poverty for a sample of refugees in Chad.

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Living Conditions and Settlement Decisions of Recent Afghan Returnees

2019

This study uses existing data sources and complements them with new data to understand the socioeconomic characteristics of Afghan returnees, and the drivers of the decision to return.

 

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Optimal Targeting under Budget Constraints in a Humanitarian Context

2019

Humanitarian organizations operate under increasing budget constraints and demands for efficiency.  This study shows the optimization of targeted coverage achieved by using the Receiver Operating Characteristic mechanism, which can increase a program’s overall efficiency.

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Risk Preferences and the Decision to Flee Conflict

2018

In this study, the drivers that impact the choice between living under conflict and the decision to flee is modeled. 

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Social Cohesion and Forced Displacement

2018

A stronger conceptual and practical understanding of social cohesion in the context of forced displacement is urgently needed, as evidenced by this study. This review also includes reflections on the current portfolio of WBG forced displacement projects.

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The Economics of Forced Displacement: An Introduction

2016

A non-technical introduction to the economics of forced displacement, this paper argues that the modeling of utility, choice, risk, and information in a short-term setting is critical to addressing forced displacement. 

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FORTHCOMING FOCUS PAPERS

Determinants of Perceptions toward Refugees among Lebanon’s Poorest Households

Forthcoming

Even as there is no strong evidence of the negative economic impact of hosting refugees, there are strong perceptions among host communities that refugees bring economic harm. This paper will measure the anti-refugee sentiment and explore its predictors among a population that the literature suggests could be economically harmed by the influx of refugees—namely low-skilled poor who mainly work in informal sectors.