Indonesia is facing a dual challenge: a growing housing crisis and increasing urban emissions.
With 67% of the population expected to live in urban areas by 2035, the demand for affordable housing is skyrocketing. Yet, nearly 20% of urban residents live in informal settlements, often in precarious and overcrowded homes. These self-built structures account for 70% of the housing stock in many cities, lacking resilience against natural disasters such as floods and landslides.
At the same time, Indonesia’s cities are contributing heavily to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Between 1990 and 2015, the share of city-generated emissions in Indonesia rose from 31% to 44%. Poorly planned urban sprawl is making this issue worse, with new housing developments pushing to city outskirts, increasing commuting distances, and placing additional strain on the environment.
To address these intersecting crises, the city governments of Palembang and Lubuklinggau, the Regency of Musi Rawas, and the South Sumatra provincial government partnered with City Climate Finance Gap Fund (the Gap Fund), a partnership implemented by the World Bank and European Investment Bank, to find innovative solutions to tackle both housing and climate needs.
Tackling housing and climate change
From January 2022 to August 2023, the Gap Fund provided $225,000 in technical assistance to support sustainable housing development in the Palembang Metropolitan Area, Lubuklinggau City, and Musi Rawas Regency. This partnership focused on:
- Sustainable Housing Tools: Developing a digital planning tool to identify areas suitable for housing projects, estimate greenhouse gas emissions from the residential sector, and calculate and compare the performance of urban housing.
- Green Housing Guidelines: Drafting tailored guidelines for energy-efficient, resource-conscious construction suited to local contexts.
- Home Designs: Developing designs for 100 affordable, green homes, enabling low-income families to densify and improve existing structures sustainably.
- City Action Plan Recommendations: Providing recommendations to integrate energy- and resource-efficient building construction practices into local government housing programs.
- Capacity Building: Training 80 local officials through workshops and case studies to apply tools and methodologies for urban planning and housing investment.
Empowering communities and local governments
To better understand where new green and resilient homes can be built, and which existing houses could be retrofitted or densified, the Gap Fund team worked with Capsus Mexico to develop digital tools.
First, the Gap Fund introduced a Housing Location Suitability Tool, which enabled local governments to analyze land based on various indicators, including environmental risks and social infrastructure. The tool created “suitability maps” to guide decisions on where to build or retrofit homes.
Second, the Gap Fund also introduced a Housing Calculator to compare different housing scenarios and assess economic, social, and environmental impacts. Four training sessions were held with Indonesian officials between October 2022 and July 2023, empowering stakeholders to use the digital tools to inform future planning, construction, and investment decisions.
To identify locations for affordable housing in each city, the team used the Suitability Index, cross-referenced with hazard exposure information, land zoning regulations and land-value data. The analysis had three main findings:
- Affordable housing in central locations can be built by 1) adding rental rooms 2) constructing backyard housing 3) densifying neighborhoods, and 4) building mid-rise and high-rise apartment buildings.
- Future affordable housing projects should prioritize land suitability to enhance beneficiaries' well-being. Subsidies should focus on developing housing in areas with high population, low hazard exposure, and good access to jobs and urban services.
- Affordable housing policy should include retrofit considerations, focusing on areas with high housing precariousness. Spatial data and the Suitability Index can help identify and prioritize villages with poor access to clean water, electricity, and adequate housing materials.