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Overview

Ukraine Remains Resilient

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to cause staggering losses to people and the economy. Poverty in Ukraine has increased by at least 1.8 million people since the start of 2022, rising to 9 million.

While many are suffering, the government and the people of Ukraine continue to show remarkable resilience in the face of extensive devastation. Children are attending school and Ukraine has kept critical social and health services and business running.

Ukraine’s private sector has also demonstrated incredible durability yet faces considerable challenges as it navigates the ongoing disruption and its economic aftermath. While exports have resumed, financial fragility persists, particularly for small businesses.

The country will need at least $524 billion over the next decade to repair and rebuild the country, which is approximately 2.8 times the estimated nominal GDP for 2024, according to the February 2025 Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA4). 

Substantial infrastructure damage and extensive electricity disruptions are likely to slow economic growth to 3.2% in 2024 and 2% in 2025. 

In the energy sector, there has been a 70% increase in damaged or destroyed assets in the last year, including power generation, transmission, distribution infrastructure, and district heating, according to RDNA4. Also, 13% of the total housing stock has been damaged or destroyed, affecting more than 2.5 million households.

Reconstruction and recovery needs are the highest in the housing sector (almost $84 billion) followed by the transport sector (almost $78 billion), the energy and extractives sector (almost $68 billion), the commerce and industry sector (over $64 billion), and the agriculture sector (over $55 billion). Across all sectors, the cost of debris clearance and management alone reaches almost $13 billion.

Prioritizing investments in recovery and reconstruction will be critical for Ukraine's EU Accession and long-term resilience. These efforts aim to rebuild the country’s infrastructure, revive its economy, and strengthen its institutional framework in alignment with EU standards. Recovery provides an opportunity to address the destruction caused by the ongoing invasion and also to build back better by adopting innovative solutions and reforms that meet the expectations of EU membership. 

Mobilizing the private sector remains critical to Ukraine’s successful recovery and reconstruction. Many firms have started to invest in repairs and resilience, including through distributed energy solutions such as gas power plants, solar panels, and biogas. Based on earlier IFC estimates, the private sector could potentially cover a third of total needs, providing an essential complement to public investment.

Last Updated: Mar 19, 2025

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(380 44) 490-6671
5, Alla Tarasova Street, 2nd Floor, Kyiv, Ukraine, 01001