Wildfire Risk Analysis in Latin America


  • SOLICITATION NUMBER: 0002012541
  • INSTITUTION:  IBRD/IDA
  • ASSIGNMENT LOCATION: N/A
  • ISSUE DATE AND TIME: Nov 16,2024 05:36
  • CLOSING DATE AND TIME: Nov 28,2024 23:59

Wildfire events; driven by climate change and human activities; pose significant risks to populations; infrastructure; and natural assets across diverse landscapes. To effectively inform policy decisions; financial planning; and disaster risk management strategies; accurate and regionally-consistent probabilistic risk analysis is crucial. Recent advancements in wildfire modeling have enabled more sophisticated and granular analyses; integrating climate projections; ignition sources; and fire spread mechanisms. This Consultancy will leverage these advancements to deliver a comprehensive probabilistic wildfire risk analysis across selected regions. The outcomes of this analysis will directly support the Scaling up Private Investment in Reforestation for Global Public Goods; Jobs and Growth in Latin America project[1] and contribute to the World Bank’s broader efforts to enhance disaster preparedness and resilience. This Consultancy is part of the World Bank’s Technical Assistance project focused on enhancing financial resilience through improved risk analytics and disaster preparedness. It aligns with the objectives of the Global Partnership for Sustainable and Resilient Landscapes (PROGREEN); a multi-donor umbrella program housed at the World Bank. PROGREEN addresses pressing global challenges such as biodiversity conservation; climate change mitigation; and ecosystem restoration by supporting national and regional sustainable landscape programs and generating knowledge to inform the design and implementation of these multisectoral initiatives. Through PROGREEN; countries are better equipped to meet their national and global sustainable development goals; including poverty reduction; in a cost-effective manner. The primary focus of this Consultancy is to provide model outputs that will serve as inputs into the technical analysis to be conducted by the World Bank.This project is aimed at identifying and informing public sector initiatives in Latin America to scale-up private capital mobilization for reforestation  and optimize the associated delivery of global public goods (GPGs). This consultancy will examine public policies that maximize delivery of GPGs as an outcome of commercial forest investment; including; but not limited to: (i) carbon sequestration/removal; (ii) biodiversity conservation/enhancement; (iii) water and soil resources protection; (iv) reduction of natural disasters such as floods and landslides and (v) air quality improvement.

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